"@OakeyMP
“Because people own houses under private title, and people’s personal wealth matters. can I put it any more simply for you?”
the personal ramblings of Pauk...
Monday, 15 April 2013
Robert Oakeshott MP shows his complete lack of a social conscience
Recently in a twitter conversation, Rob cheered that house prices were rising again. When I asked him why that would be a good thing for an advanced society, he responded...
"@OakeyMP
"@OakeyMP
Friday, 12 April 2013
Julia thinks we can go to 40 million by 2050, she is mad as batpoo!
Mad as batpoo!
As our natural growth drops to perhaps to zero or even negative over the next 2.5 decades as our deaths double (boomers departing the home planet), what she is really saying is that we must accept a double or even a treble increase in immigration. Not going to happen! Will anyone accept 450,000 or 600,000 net immigrants per year? As I said, mad as batpoo!
End of September 2012 – 22 785, 000
ABS says now April 12, 2013 – 22, 988,000
So what 213,000 additions in 6 months? Just shows how ‘out’ the abs really is, like the 300,000 extra that they had that our census showed we did not.
Back of envelope – to get to 40 million from our 23 million, we will need to add 17 million over 28 years, or approx 607, 142 per year. Now lets say we have a natural growth (2013 to 2035) as 2.5 million (2013 at 150k, 2104 at 145k, 2035 at 50k etc to 2050) that means we would need to add 14.5 million net immigrants or approx 518K per year. Yep, not going to happen! What politics is this actually about? It certainly is not about reality or even possibility!
Tuesday, 12 March 2013
Tuesday, 26 February 2013
More ABS BS...
More BS from the ABS.
4102.0 - Australian Social Trends, Dec 2012
http://abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/4102.0Main+Features20Dec+2012
Read this and tell me how the international students, who were counted as permanent residents, get to return? They must leave and then apply for a skilled visa to return. The ABS is clearly wrong, like they were about being 300,000 people over our actual population...
http://www.immi.gov.au/media/statistics/statistical-info/oad/perm-dep/permdep.htm
4102.0 - Australian Social Trends, Dec 2012
http://abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/4102.0Main+Features20Dec+2012
Read this and tell me how the international students, who were counted as permanent residents, get to return? They must leave and then apply for a skilled visa to return. The ABS is clearly wrong, like they were about being 300,000 people over our actual population...
http://www.immi.gov.au/media/statistics/statistical-info/oad/perm-dep/permdep.htm
Monday, 21 January 2013
Time to stop residential speculation.
1. Land tax on all property.
2. Full CGT on all property sold under 10 years ( exemptions for health, work or babies – legitimate reasons to move). No CGT for anyone if sold after 10 years.
3. Abolish stamps.
4. Rental pricing regulations so mining and natural disasters does not send rents to the moon.
5. Reverse mortgages supplied by Centrelink, for those who elect to accrue the land tax.
Rising house prices, well above the cpi or wage growth, is not desirable to an advanced society.
2. Full CGT on all property sold under 10 years ( exemptions for health, work or babies – legitimate reasons to move). No CGT for anyone if sold after 10 years.
3. Abolish stamps.
4. Rental pricing regulations so mining and natural disasters does not send rents to the moon.
5. Reverse mortgages supplied by Centrelink, for those who elect to accrue the land tax.
Rising house prices, well above the cpi or wage growth, is not desirable to an advanced society.
Saturday, 19 January 2013
Australian Suburbs Population Decline 2006 to 2011
I am still in awe of the amount of suburbs like Rochedale, Springwood, Jindalee, Albany Creek and Capalaba that had population declines from 2006 to 2011.
A very nice new tool from Fairfax to play in.
Fairfax Population Growth Tool
So population decrease or increasse has very little to do with house prices, but population growth does?
I will need to ponder hard on the spruikers who talk about population growth driving prices higher, for surely the reverse must be true and yet It is not.
The amount of people at any certain age does.
Why did the new families not move into these burbs? Too unaffordable? Ganny or Grandpa holding onto their home? I suspect it is sociology and a dramatic rise in lone occupants that have caused the decline. Question is, what will happen to prices in these burbs when the lone occupants start to die on mass as our death rates double over the next 25 years.
Baby boom to death bust.
A very nice new tool from Fairfax to play in.
Fairfax Population Growth Tool
So population decrease or increasse has very little to do with house prices, but population growth does?
I will need to ponder hard on the spruikers who talk about population growth driving prices higher, for surely the reverse must be true and yet It is not.
The amount of people at any certain age does.
Why did the new families not move into these burbs? Too unaffordable? Ganny or Grandpa holding onto their home? I suspect it is sociology and a dramatic rise in lone occupants that have caused the decline. Question is, what will happen to prices in these burbs when the lone occupants start to die on mass as our death rates double over the next 25 years.
Baby boom to death bust.
Thursday, 29 November 2012
People Traffickers - Terroists and Their Treatment
Firstly let us establish some points.
1. When people die on unsafe boats making an unsafe paid journey for asylum, they are terrorized, to death!
2. The traffickers who profit and organise such perilous journeys are terrorists and must be treated as such.
3. No push factor will stop the actual asylum seekers getting on a death journey, only stopping the boats will stop the deaths at sea.
I suggest that our ASIS team, or some other similar organization in association with the Indonesian Security Services, have assets as potential asylum seekers and an aggressive intel operation be launched with the sole objective of capturing and sentencing as many 'trafficker terrorists' as possible. I would support the death penalty for those that could be identified as causing multiple innocent deaths and a minimum 25 year sentence for others. Heck, the Australian gov't could meet some of the overall costs of the sentence with approx a $250k contribution per 'terrorist' who is locked up for the full term. Certainly cheaper than our current policy settings I would think.
This will stop the boats and our humanitarian intake can be increased as it rightly should.
1. When people die on unsafe boats making an unsafe paid journey for asylum, they are terrorized, to death!
2. The traffickers who profit and organise such perilous journeys are terrorists and must be treated as such.
3. No push factor will stop the actual asylum seekers getting on a death journey, only stopping the boats will stop the deaths at sea.
I suggest that our ASIS team, or some other similar organization in association with the Indonesian Security Services, have assets as potential asylum seekers and an aggressive intel operation be launched with the sole objective of capturing and sentencing as many 'trafficker terrorists' as possible. I would support the death penalty for those that could be identified as causing multiple innocent deaths and a minimum 25 year sentence for others. Heck, the Australian gov't could meet some of the overall costs of the sentence with approx a $250k contribution per 'terrorist' who is locked up for the full term. Certainly cheaper than our current policy settings I would think.
This will stop the boats and our humanitarian intake can be increased as it rightly should.
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